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PRESS RELEASE
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Fairmont Consulting Group releases an analysis of commercial aircraft OEM long term forecasts
Wednesday, 31 October 2012

Fairmont Consulting Group LLC is pleased to announce the release of a new study analyzing long term commercial aircraft demand over the 2012-2031 period. Commercial Aerospace OEM Long-Term Forecasts: Comparison & Strategic Implications provides a detailed comparative assessment of the most recent forecasts issued by Boeing and Airbus. By contrasting the Boeing Current Market Outlook and the Airbus Global Market Forecast, this report provides new insights into differing views of commercial aircraft demand, highlighting the key drivers that will shape airline fleet mix over the next twenty years. The analysis also provides historical context, tracing the evolution of the Boeing and Airbus forecasts over time, and offers a comparison of OEM forward production guidance and historical trends to examine questions regarding both near-term and long-term aircraft production and delivery rates.

Commercial Aerospace OEM Long-Term Forecasts: Comparison & Strategic Implications addresses questions commonly asked by Fairmont's clients, and is of interest to any business active in these markets. Notable findings addressed in the report include the outlook for the A380, fleet implications of hub-and-spoke versus point-to-point operations models, and the long-term sustainability of rising aircraft production rates. Whether you are a supplier to Boeing or Airbus, a services provider to active fleets, or a private equity firm searching for market insight, this analysis can provide useful perspective for your consideration.

Ben Harper, Fairmont Consulting Group Director and principal author of the report, commented "It is important for aerospace suppliers and investors to understand the tactical and strategic implications of the differing views expressed by Boeing and Airbus in their annual long term market forecasts. Commercial aerospace will continue to be an attractive market for years to come, but the mix of aircraft produced to serve growing passenger demand will change over time. An understanding of the factors that underpin the Boeing and Airbus projections will facilitate better near-term supply chain management and more informed long-range investment decisions."

Jay Wynn, Fairmont Consulting Group Managing Director and co-author of the report, stated "Growing production rates and the introduction of new platforms such as the Boeing 787 and Airbus A350 are great news for the industry. Order backlog is at a record high for both Airbus and Boeing, supporting planned production schedules for years to come. But we also acknowledge the cyclical nature of historical deliveries and believe it is important to take a long-range view. We hope that our new report will facilitate discussion in that regard."

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